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Chart guide

On-Chain Metrics

Reserve Risk Adjusted

Enhanced Reserve Risk normalized by a long-term moving average to correct for structural drift, providing more reliable signals across market cycles with values oscillating around 1.0 for clearer risk assessment

How to read this chart

Check the selected asset, units, and cohort before comparing readings. Compare the metric over consistent dates and use related measures to understand what contributes to a change.

Interpretation and limitations

Addresses and on-chain cohorts do not identify individual people. Network designs and available histories differ, so a threshold observed on one asset may not transfer to another.

On-chain data and methodology

Explore related charts

Reserve Risk
Sell-Side Risk Ratio
Net Realized P&L
Realized Cap
Realized Cap Drawdown

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On-Chain Metrics
Reserve Risk AdjustedFREE

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About Reserve Risk Adjusted

Enhanced Reserve Risk normalized by a long-term moving average to correct for structural drift, providing more reliable signals across market cycles with values oscillating around 1.0 for clearer risk assessment

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On-Chain Metrics

Reserve Risk

Track Bitcoin price relative to long-term holder conviction to identify extreme opportunity (low risk) and overheated (high risk) market conditions with proven accuracy at major cycle extremes

On-Chain Metrics

Sell-Side Risk Ratio

Quantifies aggregate sell-side pressure by measuring total realized profits and losses relative to realized cap. High values indicate capitulation or distribution, while low values suggest accumulation phases with minimal selling pressure.

On-Chain Metrics

Net Realized P&L

Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL) measures realized profits minus realized losses on Bitcoin transfers, using on-chain cost-basis estimates. The single line shows whether profit or loss dominates in value, with USD and BTC denominations available.

On-Chain Metrics

Realized Cap

Compare Bitcoin's realized capitalization with market cap, showing the aggregate value of all coins at their last movement vs current market value. Includes 7-day change analysis to identify capital flows and market momentum shifts.

On-Chain Metrics

Realized Cap Drawdown

Measures the percentage decline of Bitcoin's Realized Capitalization from its all-time high. Unlike market cap drawdowns (80-90%), realized cap drawdowns are muted (-14% to -23% at bear bottoms) because it represents actual capital invested in the network.

On-Chain Metrics

Days Above/Below Realized Price

Tracks consecutive days Bitcoin's price stays above or below its Realized Price, helping contextualize current market positioning relative to historical cycles. Extended streaks above (500+ days) often coincide with bull market euphoria, while extended streaks below indicate bear market accumulation phases.

On-Chain Metrics

Reserve Risk

Track Bitcoin price relative to long-term holder conviction to identify extreme opportunity (low risk) and overheated (high risk) market conditions with proven accuracy at major cycle extremes

On-Chain Metrics

Sell-Side Risk Ratio

Quantifies aggregate sell-side pressure by measuring total realized profits and losses relative to realized cap. High values indicate capitulation or distribution, while low values suggest accumulation phases with minimal selling pressure.

On-Chain Metrics

Net Realized P&L

Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL) measures realized profits minus realized losses on Bitcoin transfers, using on-chain cost-basis estimates. The single line shows whether profit or loss dominates in value, with USD and BTC denominations available.

On-Chain Metrics

Realized Cap

Compare Bitcoin's realized capitalization with market cap, showing the aggregate value of all coins at their last movement vs current market value. Includes 7-day change analysis to identify capital flows and market momentum shifts.

On-Chain Metrics

Realized Cap Drawdown

Measures the percentage decline of Bitcoin's Realized Capitalization from its all-time high. Unlike market cap drawdowns (80-90%), realized cap drawdowns are muted (-14% to -23% at bear bottoms) because it represents actual capital invested in the network.

On-Chain Metrics

Days Above/Below Realized Price

Tracks consecutive days Bitcoin's price stays above or below its Realized Price, helping contextualize current market positioning relative to historical cycles. Extended streaks above (500+ days) often coincide with bull market euphoria, while extended streaks below indicate bear market accumulation phases.

On-Chain Metrics

Reserve Risk

Track Bitcoin price relative to long-term holder conviction to identify extreme opportunity (low risk) and overheated (high risk) market conditions with proven accuracy at major cycle extremes

On-Chain Metrics

Sell-Side Risk Ratio

Quantifies aggregate sell-side pressure by measuring total realized profits and losses relative to realized cap. High values indicate capitulation or distribution, while low values suggest accumulation phases with minimal selling pressure.

On-Chain Metrics

Net Realized P&L

Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL) measures realized profits minus realized losses on Bitcoin transfers, using on-chain cost-basis estimates. The single line shows whether profit or loss dominates in value, with USD and BTC denominations available.

On-Chain Metrics

Realized Cap

Compare Bitcoin's realized capitalization with market cap, showing the aggregate value of all coins at their last movement vs current market value. Includes 7-day change analysis to identify capital flows and market momentum shifts.

On-Chain Metrics

Realized Cap Drawdown

Measures the percentage decline of Bitcoin's Realized Capitalization from its all-time high. Unlike market cap drawdowns (80-90%), realized cap drawdowns are muted (-14% to -23% at bear bottoms) because it represents actual capital invested in the network.

On-Chain Metrics

Days Above/Below Realized Price

Tracks consecutive days Bitcoin's price stays above or below its Realized Price, helping contextualize current market positioning relative to historical cycles. Extended streaks above (500+ days) often coincide with bull market euphoria, while extended streaks below indicate bear market accumulation phases.

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